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In the long term, China’s natural gas demand has a stable growth foundation, and will not deviate from this basic feature in 2019.
(Source: WeChat Public Power Magazine ID: energymagazine Author: Rozo County)
The market performance in 2018 was stable
The supply tightening phenomenon in the southern region in 2017 made the natural atmosphere market performance in 2018 attract public attention. Overall, the natural atmosphere market in 2018 was stable, and there was no sign of off-season supply tightness that the market had once worried about.
The cooperation point in 2018 and 2017 is that the “peak season is not slow” in both years. Since April, both annual natural gas demand has increased significantly in both annually. In April 2018, Manila escort9Sugar baby daddyThe year-on-year growth rate of demand for air was 20-30%, and prices also saw a significant increase. But what was different in 2018 was that natural gas demand increased in the off-season while prices remained relatively stable.
The delivery price of LNG in East China in 2017 increased significantly in the summer. The price of LNG exceeded 10,000 yuan/t during the period, while the delivery price of Sugar daddy in the off-season in 2018 did not increase significantly in the peak season, but continued to remain stable. The average price for the entire year is expected to be between RMB 5,000 and RMB 6,000 per ton.
The same goes for “the peak season is not slow”, so why does this contrast appear in the off-season of demand? The important reason is that the 2018 policy strictly controls both the demand and supply side of natural gas, and while controlling demand, it will try its best to increase supply, so that the market will not be “short”. The important method of controlling the demand side is to be optimisticRegular modification and pressure non-protective.
Since 8 years old, the country has continuously issued policy or held meetings to strengthen the “gain-based reform” energy implementation of the coal gas improvement project. The change to the natural atmosphere by the atmosphere is unscrupulous to curb the excessive growth of the coal gas improvement project.
At the same time, policies such as the Blue Sky Protection War Plan proposed that the idea of improving the atmosphere of cooling and heating in southern regions is suitable for heating, heating, coal, and heating, and heating, which emphasizes the thinking of random change and diversified power, so that the rhythm of cooling and heating is also divergently steadily.
After the policy of connecting the prices of domestic and non-residential gas stations in the middle of the year, local governments have been continuously adjusting the prices of domestic and local gas, and some places have begun to adjust the prices of domestic and local gas. But after the summer, various places came out of “pressure in the community in their homes. Song Wei replied calmly: “It is out of the demand for non-residential energy”, and the price of non-residential energy is adjusted from the top to guide resources to the local energy industry. There are also many regions that can adjust the resource flow through market precautions and encourage both supply and demand signings by both parties.
The demand for natural gas in the entire 2018 is close to 277 billion cubic meters, with urban gas of 110 billion cubic meters, industrial gas of 91 billion cubic meters, electricity generation of 50 billion cubic meters, and chemical gas of 26 billion cubic meters.
The peak season in 2018 is not slow, and the control of demand is an important reason. Considering the off-season pressure non-insurance policy, industrial users increase production efforts during the traditional peak season, and some production plans are being early. The demand for electricity consumption in summer has increased, and the increase in electricity consumption is relatively large. Due to the policy expected to summer in advance, the production plan of gas enterprises has been adjusted in advance and will not compete with the public at the end of the year, making the entire market stable.
The 2019 Natural Economy Market Expectation
International Sugar babyThe supply of the market continues to remain loose
According to the american theme: maintain a positive centripetal and shine brightly. LNG exports are able to expand, and the international market supply continues to be fully maintained. After joining Eupec, Katard focused on developing natural atmosphere and estimated export talents.et/”>Sugar baby will have a certain level of growth. In addition, the liquefied natural gas exports in Russia and Australia will continue to remain prosperous.
The global LNG exports are expected to increase by 44 million tons in 2019, and the demand is 42 million tons, and the overall looseness is overall. The demand increase will be important from Southeast Europe, China and South Asia. The overall performance of the Asian market is loose.
Due to the decline in expected oil prices and the atmosphere Sugar baby price and oil price lifting are relatively large, so it is expected to be 20Escort manilaThe price of contracted gas in 2019 will decline. The domestic natural gas production is expected to continue to grow.
In 2018, the three major oil companies’ survey and development business plan adjustment efforts are relatively large. In 2019, these business plans will be implemented and ineffective. The oil production volume should continue to grow, and the natural gas will continue to play the main color and drive the production volume The growth is expected to grow at more than 10 billion cubic meters throughout the year.
The structure of natural gas demand will not undergo major changes
Urban gas and industrial gas are still important areas of natural gas demand. Urban gas consumption continues to grow at a fixed rate, with a predicted gas consumption reaching 120 billion cubic meters. href=”https://philippines-sugar.net/”>Escort manila‘s career gas is estimated to produce 450 million yuan, with an annual per capita gas of 70-80 cubic meters. The budget for public service and commercial gas accounts for 50-60% of career gas. It is expected that the daily life and public service gas volume will be approximately 52 billion cubic meters in 2019.
Southern CitySugar baby‘s clean-up hot rate will reach 50% in 2019, and the natural gas supply areaEscort manila estimates to reach 3 billion cubic meters, Sugar daddy is expected to take the heat consumption to reach 47 billion cubic meters. If the coal gas improvement in urban rural areas continues to be implemented in 2+26, the heat consumption will still increase. Cleaning and heat extraction is one of the main areas of gas consumption in the southern region in the future.
The growth of gas usage is driven by the planning. According to the 13th Five-Year Plan for the Development of Natural Gas, by 2020, the whole country willThere are 10 million vehicles of various types of gasoline, and more than 12,000 gasoline stations have been built. In 201Sugar baby8 years, the gas consumption in my country’s roads was about 19.9 billion cubic meters, and the natural gas ownership exceeded 6 million. In fact, the LNG/CNG gas station ownership and natural gas consumption ranked first in the world for four consecutive years.
Consider the 2019 gas priceEscortStill stable downward energy is more substantial, and natural gas automobile economics are becoming more and more economical. This Sugar baby‘s environmental protection advantages will also promote the development of natural automobiles. It is expected that the demand for air consumption in the road sector will be approximately 23 billion cubic meters in 2019, an increase of 15.1% compared with Sugar daddy.
The industrial energy is extremely capable of continuing to last for 201Sugar baby for 8 years, and continues to grow during the traditional peak season. The economic situation in the first half of 2018 helped the industry to consume prices during the peak season. In the first half of 2019, the performance was very large-scale on whether the Sino-US trade war could continue. After the three-month “war break” period, if Sino-US trade frictions show a waiting and positive development trend, Sugar baby predicts that industrial use will increase significantly compared with the previous year; if the trade war continues, China and the United States will impose additional restrictions on the import of each other’s goods. daddyTax phenomenon, the expected industrial utilization growth rate will drop, and there are many industrial products exported to the american market. Those who write the author think that the first way is to be more powerful.
Electric emissions continue to grow under the conditions of continuous growth of gas-electricity development and planning installation capacity. Historical data shows that gas machine capacity
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